Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.022357 0.024101 0.025917 0.027951 0.030168 0.032512 0.035181
2025-12-07 0.019316 0.021797 0.024516 0.027726 0.031418 0.035544 0.040516
2025-12-14 0.017275 0.020160 0.023443 0.027473 0.032302 0.037929 0.045015
2025-12-21 0.015928 0.019099 0.022821 0.027537 0.033385 0.040440 0.049659
2025-12-28 0.014755 0.018103 0.022137 0.027388 0.034091 0.042426 0.053673
2026-01-04 0.013836 0.017322 0.021620 0.027353 0.034865 0.044462 0.057798
2026-01-11 0.013109 0.016716 0.021257 0.027449 0.035759 0.046647 0.062194
2026-01-18 0.012450 0.016142 0.020881 0.027475 0.036523 0.048658 0.066431
2026-01-25 0.011922 0.015701 0.020638 0.027642 0.037455 0.050911 0.071102
2026-02-01 0.011284 0.015071 0.020099 0.027357 0.037719 0.052219 0.074467
2026-02-08 0.010649 0.014408 0.019473 0.026901 0.037696 0.053089 0.077207
2026-02-15 0.010162 0.013921 0.019060 0.026716 0.038033 0.054472 0.080764
2026-02-22 0.009659 0.013405 0.018602 0.026470 0.038315 0.055857 0.084529
2026-03-01 0.009219 0.012957 0.018220 0.026319 0.038730 0.057470 0.088774
2026-03-08 0.008791 0.012504 0.017807 0.026091 0.039002 0.058863 0.092740
2026-03-15 0.008479 0.012204 0.017598 0.026153 0.039716 0.060972 0.097999
2026-03-22 0.008135 0.011840 0.017273 0.026013 0.040091 0.062544 0.102445
2026-03-29 0.007844 0.011540 0.017028 0.025980 0.040628 0.064394 0.107474
2026-04-05 0.007604 0.011305 0.016869 0.026070 0.041360 0.066599 0.113256
2026-04-12 0.007363 0.011058 0.016678 0.026095 0.041979 0.068634 0.118860
2026-04-19 0.007168 0.010873 0.016575 0.026253 0.042822 0.071091 0.125393
2026-04-26 0.006890 0.010543 0.016225 0.025984 0.042913 0.072232 0.129537
2026-05-03 0.006593 0.010173 0.015794 0.025554 0.042699 0.072809 0.132633